Chapter Seven
Incentives in Natural Law Societies.
The Pastland Farm
produces a free-cash flow of
$2.4 million a year. We have been
dividing this money evenly. We don’t have to do this. We can use this money other ways.
We might want to acknowledge the people who are doing various things to
make life better for all of us. Some
people go over to the electric generating plant, check to make sure everything
is working right, and fix things when they break. We may want to reward them for this. Some people take care of the internet and keep it working. Some people take care of the routers,
servers, and modems.
Some people come to the medical clinic and help people who are injured
or sick. We want these people to know
that we appreciate them. We can show
this by rewarding them. As long as we
show our appreciation to them, we can expect them to keep showing up.
We have a lot of money to use for rewards. If we want, we can allocate rewards before we divide the
money. People can nominate those who
help out with various services for rewards and we can vote on them.
We will naturally want to make sure to reward the people who do the
things that are most vital to us so they will keep doing these things. This will create a kind of incentive system:
people will know that those who do things that help society can get rewards;
the more important their work, the more rewards they can expect to get.
People will look for things that benefit the human race and just do
them. If they find the rest of the
people value their input and reward them, they will keep doing these
things. If they aren’t getting rewarded
(because the people don’t think the things they do are important), and the work
isn’t rewarding for other reasons, they will stop. In time, many people will wind up doing a bunch of different
things that benefit the human race.
People will always be looking for things they might be able to do that
others will find valuable enough to reward.
Money
So we have some figures to work with, let’s say that each year we
allocate about $400,000 of the $2.4 million a year free cash that flows to us
to rewards for services.
In time, we will probably create a formal system to deal with common
facilities and services. We may elect a
committee to meet on a regular basis, figure out our priorities, line up bids
for work that has to be paid or get volunteers to work for unpaid jobs, take
care of the details, and provide a budget for our approval.
If we like the work the members of the committee are doing, we can
leave everything to them. If we don’t
like their priorities, or believe they are ignoring important matters, we can
replace them or simply go over their heads and vote for rewards directly to
people who do things that benefit us.
The money sitting on the table doesn’t belong to the committee. It doesn’t belong to anyone. In natural law societies, no one owns this
unearned wealth. It is a gift from
nature. The entire group decides what
happens to the wealth and gifts that flow to us that don’t belong to
anyone. If we make it clear to people
who do things that benefit us that they will be rewarded, people will have
incentives to anticipate the needs of the human race and find things that can
make life better for the people.
Environmental
Responsibility
Natural law societies distribute wealth in
ways that lead to very powerful incentives for everyone to work both as
individuals and as members of society to make sure no harm ever comes to the
world around them.
Consider our situation in Pastland: when we
arrived in the ancient past, the land was already healthy. Nature created a balanced ecosystem. If we throw it out of balance, it won’t
operate as well as it does now and won’t give us as much wealth as we get
now. If we want to keep our incomes
high, we will want to make sure that the system remains balanced. We will want to make sure that no harm comes
to the land or any part of nature that we depend on.
We each get $2,000 a year; this is our
personal share of the free cash flow of the land. Most of us have more income from various other sources. Kathy gets paid for managing the farm, Tanya
makes money selling eggs, Dennis makes money at the bar, and Terry makes money
providing banking services, for example; others get paid the ‘rewards’ we
provide for those who maintain the public electricity supply, water system,
internet, and medical system. But some
people only make a small amount of money outside of their share of the bounty that
we divide; others have no other incomes at all. Some of these people are barely able to get enough to eat a
healthy diet. If production fell by
even a tiny amount, their share would fall below starvation levels and they
would be in real trouble.
We would expect these people to have very
strong opinions about keeping the land healthy. Any harm to the land could mean a death sentence for them. They will obviously have powerful incentives
to make sure that everyone around them is environmentally responsible. If you do something that even has the
tiniest potential to harm the land we depend on, you can expect a stern
lecture. You will be told that you are
harming everyone. (To quote chief
Seattle of the Duwamish: ‘Teach
your children what we have taught our children that the earth is our
mother. Whatever befalls the earth
befalls the sons of earth. If men spit upon the ground, they spit upon themselves.’)
If the people harming the land don’t reform,
we can expect some people to be truly dedicated environmentalists, far more
motivated than environmentalists in our 21st
century world, because their lives depend on the land; even a tiny
reduction in their incomes could be enough to make them starve to death.
A great many different natural law societies
existed in the Americas before the conquest.
Some had enormous cities, used money for transactions as we do in
Pastland, had extensive markets and many goods and services available, just as
we have in Pastland. Other groups
roamed the land following buffalo or other game, trading meat and livestock
products for other goods at pow-wows or other gatherings, and rarely even
seeing money. But they all shared a
common feature: they all considered nature and the natural world to be
unownable and unowned. They all lived
on a very bountiful world and shared the bounty.
When the first humans arrived in any area,
it already had a balanced and
healthy ecosystem: nature made this happen.
All they had to do to keep it producing wealth for them is make sure it remained
healthy. They all had very powerful
incentives to work both as individuals and as members of society to make sure
this happened.
Columbus Quotes about the
People of The Land Beyond he Western Ocean
When Columbus arrived in the Caribbean in
October of 1492, very large numbers of people rowed out in canoes to meet
him. He had arrived in an area with
thousands of islands, each of which produced entirely different things. (Again, for people confused by standard
history books that claim that Columbus ‘discovered’ America, it is important to
realize that Columbus went to tropical islands in the Caribbean Sea, not to the
American continent. Each island has
slightly different features and produces different things today; this was also
true in 1492.)
They came to his ship to trade. This is very clear from the descriptions of
these people in Columbus’ logs (available on the PossibleSocieites.com
website).
Columbus visited many of these islands. He was totally amazed by the incredible
health of the land. He had never seen
anything like it. Here are his words
describing several different islands sequentially:
‘This is a large and level
island, with trees extremely flourishing, and streams of water; there is a
large lake in the middle of the island, but no mountains: the whole is
completely covered with verdure and delightful to behold. The natives are an inoffensive people, and
so desirous to possess any thing they saw with us, that they kept swimming off
to the ships with whatever they could find, and readily bartered for any
article we saw fit to give them in return, even such as broken platters and
fragments of glass.
Near the islet I have mentioned
were groves of trees, the most beautiful I have ever seen, with their foliage
as verdant as we see in Castile in April and May. There were also many streams.
After having taken a survey of these parts, I returned to the ship, and
setting sail, discovered such a number of islands that I knew not which first
to visit; the natives whom I had taken on board informed me by signs that there
were so many of them that they could not be numbered; they repeated the names
of more than a hundred.
I determined to steer for the
largest, which is about five leagues from San Salvador [the name he gave the
first island where he landed] the others were some at a greater, and some at a
less distance from that island. They
are all very level, without mountains, exceedingly fertile and populous’.
Another island:
The island is verdant, level
and fertile to a high degree; and I doubt not that grain is sowed and reaped
the whole year round, as well as all other productions of the place. I saw many trees, very dissimilar to those
of our country, and many of them had branches of different sorts upon the same
trunk; and such diversity was among them that it was the greatest wonder in the
world to behold. Thus, for instance, one
branch of a tree bore leaves like those of a cane, another branch of the same
tree, leaves similar to those of the lentisk.
In this manner a single tree bears five or six different kinds of fruit.
In the meantime I strayed about
among the groves, which present the most enchanting sight ever witnessed, a
degree of verdure prevailing like that of May in Andalusia, the trees as
different from those of our country as day is from night, and the same may be
said of the fruit, the weeds, the stones and everything else.
A few of the trees, however,
seemed to be of a species similar to some that are to be found in Castile,
though still with a great dissimilarity, but the others so unlike, that it is
impossible to find any resemblance in them to those of our land.
I assure your Highnesses that
these lands are the most fertile, temperate, level and beautiful countries in
the world’.
Another island:
This island is the most
beautiful that I have yet seen, the trees in great number, flourishing and
lofty; the land is higher than the other islands, and exhibits an eminence,
which though it cannot be called a mountain, yet adds a beauty to its
appearance, and gives an indication of streams of water in the interior. From this part toward the northeast is an
extensive bay with many large and thick groves. I wished to anchor there, and land, that I might examine those
delightful regions, but found the coast shoal, without a possibility of casting
anchor except at a distance from the shore.
The wind being favorable, I came to the Cape, which I named Hermoso,
where I anchored today.
This is so beautiful a place,
as well as the neighboring regions, that I know not in which course to proceed
first; my eyes are never tired with viewing such delightful verdure, and of a
species so new and dissimilar to that of our country, and I have no doubt there
are trees and herbs here which would be of great value in Spain, as dyeing
materials, medicine, spicery, etc., but I am mortified that I have no
acquaintance with them. Upon our arrival
here we experienced the most sweet and delightful odor from the flowers and
trees of the island.
The next island.
This island even exceeds the
others in beauty and fertility. Groves
of lofty and flourishing trees are abundant, as also large lakes, surrounded
and overhung by the foliage, in a most enchanting manner. Everything looked as green as in April in
Andalusia. The melody of the birds was
so exquisite that one was never willing to part from the spot, and the flocks
of parrots obscured the heavens.
The diversity in the appearance
of the feathered tribe from those of our country is extremely curious. A thousand different sorts of trees, with
their fruit were to be met with, and of a wonderfully delicious odor. It was a great affliction to me to be
ignorant of their natures, for I am very certain they are all valuable;
specimens of them and of the plants I have preserved.
Afterwards I shall set sail for
another very large island which I believe to be Cipango [Japan], according to
the indications I receive from the Indians on board. They call the Island Colba, and say there are many large ships,
and sailors there. This other island
they name Bosio, and inform me that it is very large; the others which lie in
our course, I shall examine on the passage, and according as I find gold or
spices in abundance, I shall determine what to do; at all events I am
determined to proceed on to the continent, and visit the city of Guisay, where
I shall deliver the letters of your Highnesses to the Great Kahn, and demand an
answer, with which I shall return.
Later we will examine other societies and
compare them to natural law societies.
We will see that any society that shares the bounty of the land among
the people who live on the land will have flows of value that generate
incentives to be environmentally responsible.
Natural law societies all share the bounty of the land among the
people. They have to do this: no one
owns the land, so no one owns its bounty.
The people must get together and make decisions about what to do with
it. They may not share it equally
among their members, but they will share it
in some way. No matter how
they share, if there is more to share everyone’s share will be bigger. Healthy land is more bountiful than
devastated land. Everyone gains if the
land is healthy.
We will see that some other societies
actually have even more powerful incentives to be environmentally responsible
than natural law societies. Socratic
societies, for example, operate in ways that encourage progress, growth, and
mechanization of production with powerful internal reward systems. People will respond to these incentives in
ways that cause the land around them to produce more and more with less and
less effort and cost. The bounty
of the land is the amount left over after subtracting enough to pay the
costs. As the total production
increases (including production from factories and other facilities on the
land) and costs fall, the free cash flow that represents the bounty of the land
will increase. The more bounty there is
to divide, the more people will get from the land. We will see that healthy land always produces more, at least over
the long run, than destroyed land.
Socratic societies will have even stronger incentives to be
environmentally responsible than natural law societies because people have
stronger incentives to care for the land if they get more money from this care than if
they get less.
But, for now, we are only dealing with
natural law societies. Clearly, these
societies produce incentives that encourage environmental responsibility.
Imagine you are in Pastland. You see
someone doing something that may harm the land of the Pastland Farm, say
dumping trash there. Are you going to
be silent? You know that either Kathy
will have to pay someone to remove the trash, which involves a direct cost to
you (the pay for everyone who does anything on the farm will come out of what
would otherwise be the bounty of the land), or avoid farming on the
contaminated area, leading to less production to sell and less money for
everyone. Of course, you will say
something. Anyone who may be tempted to
harm the land will realize that their acts harm literally every single person
on Earth, including themselves. People
will realize they should not harm the land.
Not all societies that are possible have
incentives that encourage environmental responsibility. Some societies have the opposite incentives: they
have incentives that encourage irresponsible use of the land. We will look at the flows of value that
generate these incentives later in the book, when we look at sovereignty-based
societies (which have the strongest possible destructive incentives) but, for
now, I just want to go over the result.
In his book ‘The Devastation of the Indies,’
the historian Bartolomé de Las Casas describes what happened after the
Europeans arrived in great detail. The
Europeans began to take everything of value, without any regard whatsoever for
the health of the land. As the name of
Las Casas’ book implies, they left nothing but devastation.
At the time, hardwood lumber was incredibly
valuable in Europe. They weapons
factories needed this to make steel. If
you want to ‘smelt’ iron, or remove it from rocks, you need to build an
extremely hot fire. Wood fires don’t
produce enough heat for this, but charcoal made from hardwood does. Europe had been making steel for more than
2,000 years and had basically eliminated all hardwood forests; with no hardwood
they couldn’t make steel or more weapons.
The islands had enormous amounts of
hardwood; Spain sent armies of loggers to remove it, convert it to charcoal,
and send the coal back to Europe to use to make steel. Within a few years, the great bulk of the
hardwood forests were gone.
Haiti is the native name for the island; in
the Tianó language, this word means ‘the mountainous island.’ When the trees were gone, the mountains
didn’t have any root systems to hold the soil in place; it began to wash away.
Haiti has still not recovered from the
destruction that took place in the late 1400s and early 1500s. Here is a description of the condition of
the environment of the island as of 2010; bear in mind that this is the exact same island
that Columbus described in such glowing terms and even claimed was the
‘terrestrial paradise’ later in his life as it was far closer to what heaven
must be like because it is better than any place in the part of the world where
he was raised:
"If
you want to put the worst case scenario together in the Western hemisphere (for
disasters), it’s Haiti," said Richard Olson, a professor at Florida
International University who directs the Disaster Risk Reduction in the
Americas project.
The
list of catastrophes is mind-numbing: this week’s devastating earthquake. Four tropical storms or hurricanes that
killed about 800 people in 2008. Killer
storms in 2005 and 2004. Floods in
2007, 2006, 2003 (twice) and 2002. And
that’s just the 21st Century run-down.
“There’s
a whole bunch of things working against Haiti.
One is the hurricane track. The
second is tectonics. Then you have the
environmental degradation and the poverty,” he said. This [the 2010 earthquake] is the 15th disaster since 2001 in
which the U.S. Agency for International
Development has sent money and help to Haiti.
Some 3,000 people have been killed and millions of people displaced in
the disasters that preceded this week’s earthquake.
This
week’s devastating quake comes as Haiti is still trying to recover from 2008,
when it was hit four times by tropical storms and hurricanes, said Kathleen
Tierney, director of the University of Colorado’s Natural Hazard Center. Every factor that disaster experts look for
in terms of vulnerability is the worst it can be for Haiti, said Dennis Mileti,
a seismic safety commissioner for the state of California and author of the
book Disasters by Design.
"It doesn’t get any worse," said Mileti, a retired University of
Colorado professor. "I fear this
may go down in history as the largest disaster ever, or pretty close to
it.".
For
this to be the deadliest disaster on record, the death toll will have to top
the 2004 Asian tsunami that killed more than 227,000 and a 1976 earthquake in
China that killed 255,000, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
While
nobody knows the death toll in Haiti, a leading senator, Youri Latortue, told
The Associated Press that as many as 500,000 could be dead.
"This
was not that huge of an earthquake, but there’s been a lot of damage," he
said. "It’s the tragedy of a
natural disaster superimposed on a poor country.".
The above passage was written in 2010, a
long time ago in terms of environment disasters in the devastated lands of the
Caribbean. Since then, things have only
gotten worse. There is no hope in
sight. The trees are gone; the soil
needed to hold new trees is gone, the land is devastated. It would take many centuries of good
stewardship to get to a stable place; the type of societies that dominate the
land now just don’t have any forces that push toward this kind of care.
Other Places
We know from history that people who had
natural law societies—including the people of the pre-conquest Americas—took
truly incredible care of the land around them.
In fact, they kept the land in such good
repair, and so close to its natural state, that many people from the societies
that conquered these lands have claimed that the lands couldn’t have possibly
even had people on them.
They think that destruction is a part of
human nature. If people lived on these
lands, in immense numbers for long periods of time, the land would be
destroyed. Since the land was not
destroyed, they claim that humans could not have actually lived in the
Americas, at least not in any numbers or for any length of time.
The book ‘Forensic History’ goes over the tools that we use to date
artifacts and the evidence we have of a very long period of human habitation in
the Americas.
We now have access to scientific tools that
tell us that large numbers of people lived in the Americas for very long
periods of time.
Natural law societies work in ways that
provide very real material benefits for people who take care of the land and
keep it healthy. The evidence we have
tells us that these incentives made a difference.
Personal Responsibility
Our group in Pastland has a natural law
society, at least as long as the moratorium lasts. No one owns the land, so no one owns the wealth it produces. We use part of this wealth to reward/pay
people who help bring in the wealth of the land; this leaves the free cash
flow, the money value of the bounty of the land.
We have been using part of the free cash
that flows from the land to reward people (pay them) for services that benefit
everyone. After we pay them, there is
still a lot of money left over. We have
been dividing this money among our members.
So far, we have been dividing it
evenly. I started with this particular
distribution of the ‘leftover money’ because it is simple. But we don’t have to divide the leftover
money evenly.
We may decide to cut the amounts that go to
certain people. Some people may do
things that reduce the quality of life for us and some may even do things that
cause harm to us. Say that there is a
person in our group who picks up things that don’t belong to her and she sees
laying around, and then keeps them. We
may have people who get into arguments that disturb the peace and quiet, or
that stay up late into the night with loud parties that disturb the sleep of
those who go to bed early. We can let
these people know that we don’t like their behavior in several ways. We may start by simply talking to them and
telling them that their behavior bothers us.
If this doesn’t work, we may decide to take action by accessing some
sort of fine against them for actions that bother us and taking this fine out
of their share of the distribution of wealth.
We can cut their share of the distribution of wealth from the land, in
order to provide incentives for them to consider the feelings of the people
around them and act in socially responsible ways.
It is important to realize that this particular
option for encouraging social responsibility is not available in all possible
societies. Sovereignty-based societies,
for example, consider everything to belong to someone; there are free cash
flows, but this money doesn’t flow to the community of humankind and isn’t
available for the people to distribute.
(In systems where the land is owned, everything the land produces,
including its free cash flow, belongs to the owner.) In sovereignty-based societies, people who weren’t born rich or
don’t have a steady job that can be garnished to get the money don’t really
have anything to lose from socially irresponsible behavior. (In some cases, their lives are better if
they commit crimes and go to jail, because jail is a better home than they can
have any other way. I have known people
who have robbed stores and then sat in front of the store waiting for the
police, because it is the only way they could get enough to eat.) In natural law societies, there is wealth to
divide among the people. People know
that if they do things that harm others, the others may vote to reduce their
share. In natural law societies, people
all have something to lose for acts that harm the people around them.
In our case, most people have two incomes:
one comes from the money they earn; the other from their share of the unearned
wealth the land produces (its free cash flow).
But many people don’t have earned income at all, and many people only
get small amounts other than their share of the bounty. These people have very powerful incentives
to make sure they don’t cause problems for others and don’t do anything that
may even have the appearance of dishonesty.
Examples
The first day Columbus met the people of the islands of the western
hemisphere, Columbus described them this way in his logs:
They are very gentile and
without knowledge of what is evil, nor do they murder or steal. Your highness may believe that in all the
world there can be no better or gentler people. All the people show the most singular loving behavior and they
speak pleasantly. I assure Your
Highnesses that I believe than in all the world there is no better people nor
better country. They love their
neighbors as themselves and they have the sweetest talking the world and are
gentle and always laughing.
The most prolific writer of the period,
Bartolomé de Las Casas, described them this way:
All the land so far discovered
is a beehive of people; it is as though God had crowded into these lands the
great majority of mankind. And of all
the infinite universe of humanity, these people are the most devoid of
wickedness and duplicity. They are by
nature the most humble, patient, and peaceable, holding no grudges, free from
embroilments, neither excitable nor quarrelsome. These people are the most devoid of rancors, hatreds, or desire
for vengeance of any people in the world.
They possess little and have no
desire to possess worldly goods. For
this reason they are not arrogant, embittered, or greedy. They are very clean in their persons, with
alert, intelligent minds. Some of the
secular Spaniards who have been here for many years say that the goodness of
the Indians is undeniable.
Columbus had an occasion to see how
incredibly honest people could be: Columbus had made a friend on the island of
Haiti, a man of great respect in the community named ‘Guacanagari.’ Columbus
referred to him as ‘the king’ because of the deference that others showed to
him. On the 17th of
December, Columbus told Guacanagari that in seven days it would be Christmas,
the most important holiday for his people.
Guacanagari then arranged a feast and celebration in honor of Columbus
and his men, to be held as his home on Christmas day. Columbus accepted the invitation and they arranged to meet on
Christmas at Guacanagari’s home.
Columbus then went out exploring but was
determined to return for the Christmas celebration Guacanagari had
arranged.
On December 24, Columbus was on his way from
the other side of the island. He had
been up for two days straight and was very tired. He had put a sailor on watch and went to bed. The sailor who was in charge was apparently
also very tired. He put a cabin boy in
charge of the wheel (‘tiller’) and went to bed himself. At midnight, the ship hit a sandbank.
Here is the description of the event from
the official logs of the voyage:
December 24, 1492:
Navigating yesterday, with
little wind, from Santo Tomas to Punta Santa, and being a league from it, at
about eleven o’clock at night the Admiral went down to get some sleep, for he
had not had any rest for two days and a night.
As it was calm, the sailor who steered the ship thought he would go to
sleep, leaving the tiller in charge of a boy.
The Admiral had forbidden this throughout the voyage, whether it was
blowing or whether it was calm. The
boys were never to be entrusted with the helm.
The Admiral had no anxiety
respecting sandbanks and rocks, because, when he sent the boats to Guacanagari
on Sunday, they had passed to the east of Punta Santa at least three leagues
and a half, and the sailors had seen all the coast, and the rocks there arc
from Punta Santa, for a distance of three leagues to the E.S.E. They saw the course that should be taken,
which had not been the case before, during this voyage.
It pleased our Lord that, at
twelve o’clock at night, when the Admiral had retired to rest, and when all had
fallen asleep, seeing that it was a dead calm and the sea like glass, the
tiller being in the hands of a boy, the current carried the ship on one of the
sandbanks.
If it had not been night the
bank could have been seen, and the surf on it could be heard for a good
league. But the ship ran upon it so
gently that it could scarcely be felt.
The boy, who felt the helm and heard the rush of the sea, cried
out. The Admiral ordered him and others
to launch the boat, which was on the poop, and lay out an anchor astern.
The master, with several
others, got into the boat, and the Admiral thought that they did so with the
object of obeying his orders. But they
did so in order to take refuge with the Nina, which was half a league to
leeward. The Nina would not allow them
to come on board, acting judiciously, and they therefore returned to the ship;
but the Nina’s boat arrived first. When
the Admiral saw that his own people fled in this way, the water rising and the
ship being across the sea, seeing no other course, he ordered the masts to be
cut away and the ship to be abandoned.
The master, who was also the
owner, of the Admiral’s ship was Juan de la Cosa of Santofia, afterwards well
known as a draughtsman and pilot, lightened as much as possible, to see if she
would come off. However, as the water
continued to rise, nothing more could be done.
Her side fell over across the sea, but it was nearly calm. Then the timbers’ opened, and the ship was
lost. The Admiral went to the Nina to
arrange about the reception of the ship’s crew, and as a light breeze was
blowing from the land, and continued during the greater part of the night,
while it was unknown how far the bank extended, he hove her to until
daylight. He then went back to the
ship, inside the reef; first having sent a boat on shore with Diego de Arana of
Cordova, Alguazil of the Fleet, and I’edro Gutierrez, Gentleman of the King’s
Bedchamber, to inform Guacanagari who had invited the ships to come on the
previous Saturday.
His town was about a league and
a half (4 miles) from the sandbank.
They reported that he wept when
he heard the news, and he sent all his people with large canoes to unload the
ship. This was done, and they landed all
there was between decks in a very short time.
Such was the great promptitude and diligence shown by Guacanagari. He himself, with brothers and relations,
were actively assisting as well in the ship as in the care of the property when
it was landed, that all might be properly guarded.
Now and then he sent one of his
relations weeping to the Admiral, to console him, saying that he must not feel
sorrow or annoyance, for he would supply all that was needed. The Admiral assured the Sovereigns that there
could not have been such good watch kept in any part of Castille, for that
there was not even a needle missing.
He ordered that all the
property should be placed by some houses which the king placed at his disposal,
until they were emptied, when everything would be stowed and guarded in
them. The king and all his people
wept. They are a loving people, without
covetousness, and fit for anything; and I assure your Highnesses that there is
neither better land nor people. They
love their neighbors as themselves, and their speech is the sweetest and
gentlest in the world, and always with a smile.
‘Your Highnesses should believe
that they have very good customs among themselves. The king (Guacanagari) is a man of remarkable presence, and with
a certain self contained manner that is a pleasure to see. They have good memories, wish to see
everything, and ask the use of what they see’.
Columbus was commanding the Santa Maria, the
supply ship for the voyage. The Santa
Maria was far larger than the other ships, and laden with many very useful
things. Most of these things would have
been worth enormous amounts to the natives.
When Columbus was trading for these things, the people offered large
amounts of gold and skeins of cotton (as valuable as gold at the time to Europeans)
for these things.
When they had an easy opportunity to steal
them, they declined.
Not so much as a needle was missing.
You and I were born into societies where the
great bulk of the people of the world have nothing unless they can get
jobs. If they don’t work, they die,
regardless of the amount of wealth around them. People in these societies are not rewarded for being personally
responsible. In fact, they often must
act irresponsibly just to avoid death: if you don’t have a job and have no rich
people to give you charity, you must either steal or die. The need to steal is so common that many
people don’t even get upset when people steal from them: it is a common part of life and something
everyone in business must simply account for: it will happen, and we all know
it.
Because theft, deception, and trickery are
so common, we all know that we are never really safe in the societies we were
born into and which we live in now.
People in dire circumstances are behind the shadows of each tree, like
ants sweeping the ground for crumbs, waiting to swoop in on any target of
opportunity.
This is not the case in all possible
societies. Some societies work in ways
that generate flows of value that the people as a group may distribute among
their members as the group sees fit.
Our group in Pastland has $2.4 million left—the free cash flow of the
farm—that we can divide any way we want.
We want
to encourage people to do things that benefit us, so we use part of this money
to provide rewards that encourage people to step up and do things that benefit
the human race. Some people will find
things that we like. If we want to keep
having these things, we may give them some of the bounty of the land as a
reward, to encourage them to keep doing these things. But we have such enormous amounts of income that, after we pay
people who do these things enough to make sure they keep doing them, we have $2
million left. We can divide this money
among our people.
If everyone is acting responsibly, it makes
sense to divide it evenly. But if some
people are acting irresponsible, it wouldn’t make sense to give them an equal
share. We may come up with a process of
some kind to determine a kind of schedule of offenses. People who violate the rules can be given a
hearing and, if the hearing officers conclude that the offense was intentional,
they can be fined. This will always
reduce the quality of their lives because, as long as the fines are not more
than their share of the bounty, they will always be able to afford to pay
them. (In sovereignty-based societies,
most offenders can’t be fined because they have nothing to use to pay the
fines. All we can do in this case is
put them in jail, which is often a better place to live than they would be
living otherwise, so they actually can improve their lives by committing
crimes.)
You could say that this system pays everyone
to be responsible. In our case, people
are paid in money, but all natural law societies have flows of value that must
be distributed in some way among the people, so all natural law societies pay
or reward for being responsible. If
people are rewarded for certain behaviors on a consistent basis, starting at an
early age, they become programmed to think about the consequences of their
actions. People may see something they
want lying around that they know belongs to others. They may have it, but if they realize that they may easily suffer
much more than they gain from the object if anyone ever finds out they have it,
they will ‘have a feeling’ that it is simply not the right thing to do. Their feelings—actually the ingrained
responses of their minds that result from the known relationship between
responsible behavior and rewards—will push them to do the responsible thing,
whatever they think it is.
Later we will see that we can actually use
mathematical analysis to determine the strength of incentives that push toward
personal responsibility in different societies. We will see that some societies have very powerful incentives
that encourage personal responsibility, some have weaker incentives, some have
none at all, and some even have incentives that discourage personal
responsibility. We will see that
natural law societies have very strong incentives that encourage personal
responsibility, but they aren’t the strongest possible. (Socratic societies, discussed later in the
book, have much
stronger incentives pushing toward social responsibility, because of rapid
increases that drive up the bounty of the world; if the world is more
bountiful, there is more to divide and people have more to gain from personal
responsibility.) But, although it is
possible to have ‘personal responsibility incentives’ that are stronger
than those in natural law societies, natural law societies have extremely
strong incentives to come to understand the rules and act properly. We can see from the historical records that
these incentives really did exist in these societies when they dominated the
western half of the world.
Columbus was amazed at the honesty of the
people in the new world, as the excerpts from his logs presented above
show. Others expressed the same
amazement:
The official historian of the Spanish Crown
during the time that Columbus was alive was a Dutchman named ‘Peter Myrtar.’
Myrtar was very impressed by the honesty of the people of the lands he
studied. He studied the people and came
to the conclusion that there is something about the idea of sharing the land
and the things the land produced that led to this behavior. Here are some quotes from his official
report on the people of the new world, called ‘Orbo Novo’ (The New World):
It
is proven that amongst them the land belongs to everybody, just as does the sun
or the water. They know no difference
between meum and tuum, that source of all evils. It requires so little to satisfy them, that in that vast region
there is always more land to cultivate than is needed. It is indeed a golden age, neither ditches,
nor hedges, nor walls to enclose their domains; they live in gardens open to
all, without laws and without judges; their conduct is naturally equitable, and
whoever injures his neighbor is considered a
criminal and an outlaw.
He goes on:
They
know neither weights nor measures, nor that source of all misfortunes, money;
living in a golden age, without laws, without lying judges, without books,
satisfied with their life, and in no wise solicitous for the future.
Bartolomé de Las Casas was the most prolific
writer of the time. Here he describes
these same people:
Of all the infinite universe of
humanity, these people most devoid of wickedness and duplicity; they are by
nature the most humble, patient, and peaceable, holding no grudges, free from
embroilments, neither excitable nor quarrelsome. These people are the most devoid of rancors, hatreds, or desire
for vengeance of any people in the world.
What about these same lands now?
You can find many descriptions of the
changes that occurred in the first few years after the arrival of the Europeans
in the book Forensic History. They show that the Europeans made a
dedicated effort to wipe out the old social order and replace it with a new one
on the European model. They
succeeded. The payments that went to
responsible people are no longer being made; they haven’t been made for
centuries. The Europeans needed lumber
very badly to make charcoal for steel.
Haiti, the first island they settled, was densely forested and the
Europeans clear cut it. The Europeans
took the gold and other metals and then abandoned the useless hulk that
remained. The Europeans decimated the
native population, generally by enslaving them and working them to death. By 1540 there weren’t enough natives left to
fill the Christian need for slaves, so the Europeans began bringing in both
white slaves (purchased from European prisons) and black slaves (captured and
enslaved from Africa) to finish raping the lands. Once the land had been denuded of anything valuable, the slave
masters basically abandoned it. They
left the descendents of the white and black slaves they had imported; these
people interbred with the native people that remained to create the racial
mixture we see on the island of Haiti today.
(DNA studies show that a large percentage of the people of Haiti have
ancestors of all three races.)
These people did not have anything to work
with: the ecosystem that had supported the natives, and that early European
arrivals had marveled at, no longer existed: all resources valuable to the
outside world were gone.
The former masters who abandoned this island
did leave these people with something however: they left them with an
administrative system based on the principles of sovereignty, as accepted in
Europe. These people had an entirely
different foundation to build on than the people who lived before them.
How did things turn out? You can get some idea from the next
quote. This quote is from the United
States government’s travel advisory website, for
the exact same island described in the above passages, the one with
no ‘murder or theft’ (according to Columbus) where ‘their conduct is naturally
equitable, and whoever injures his neighbor is considered a criminal and an
outlaw’ according to Myrtar, where ‘these people most devoid of
wickedness and duplicity of all the infinite universe of humanity’ reside.
Reconsider
travel to Haiti due to crime and civil unrest.
Violent crime, such as armed robbery, is common. Protests, tire burning, and road blockages
are frequent and often spontaneous.
Local police may lack the resources to respond effectively to serious
criminal incidents, and emergency response, including ambulance service, is
limited or non-existent.
Travelers
are sometimes targeted, followed, and violently attacked and robbed shortly
after leaving the Port-au-Prince international airport. The U.S.
Embassy requires its personnel to use official transportation to and
from the airport, and it takes steps to detect surveillance and deter criminal
attacks during these transports.
The
U.S. government has limited ability to provide emergency services to U.S.
citizens in some areas of Haiti. The
Embassy discourages its personnel from walking in most neighborhoods. The Embassy prohibits its personnel from:
Visiting
establishments after dark without secure, on-site parking.
Using
any kind of public transportation or taxis.
Visiting
banks and using ATMs.
Driving
outside of Port-au-Prince at night.
Traveling
anywhere between 1:00 a.m. and 5:00
a.m..
Visiting
certain parts of the city at any time without prior approval and special
security measures in place.
If
you decide to travel to Haiti:
Avoid
demonstrations.
Arrange
airport transfers and hotels in advance, or have your host meet you upon
arrival.
Be
careful about providing your destination address in Haiti. Do not provide personal information to
unauthorized individuals located in the immigration, customs, or other areas
inside or near any airports in Haiti.
As
you leave the airport, make sure you are not being followed. If you notice you are being followed, drive
to the nearest police station immediately.
Do
not physically resist any robbery attempt.
Social Responsibility
What is the most irresponsible thing someone could do in a social
situation? How about this: the person
could organize a gang to use murder and terror to either drive off or kill all
people who are not in her gang from a part of the world, then claim that part
of the world belongs to her and her gang, without sharing with anyone
else. That seems like a very simple
description of the idea of a ‘country.’
You and I were raised in a crazy world. The schools in our world today teach children that their highest
allegiance is not to their race, not to their culture, not to nature, not to
the world around them, but to their country. They are taught that the greatest
heroes in history where the ones who organized the mass murder events called
‘wars’ that led to their ‘country’ existing.
Children are raised to believe it is not just acceptable, but admirable
to be willing to kill others and inflict terror on any who threaten the
interests of their country.
Our group in Pastland has passed a moratorium. For the time this moratorium is in effect,
we have a natural law society. The
primary law of this society—we may call it a ‘prime directive’ if we want to
use Star Trek terminology—is that no one may organize to use violence to create
a country. We have only one offense
that is so serious that we will not allow any who commit it to remain among
us: you may not organize for violence
to force others to accept a country.
Anyone who commits this offense will be evicted from orderly society and
sent to live in the wild. Since
individuals sent to live in the wild will almost certainly not be able to
survive, this is effectively a death sentence.
Everyone who might consider organizing for mass murder or terror
against others will realize that she can’t possibly gain from this. Either she will be caught early and punished
or, if she can organize a gang and start murdering, be wiped out by the great
majority, that will do everything it can to prevent the success of this
takeover.
We may understand how hard it would be to break away from a community
like this and form a country if we consider that the societies in the Americas
existed for at least 10,000 years without anyone successfully creating a
country. Almost certainly, people tried
to do so. People are
self-interested. This is true in any
society. Self-interested people want
more for themselves. Any distribution
of wealth that favors any individual or small group will effectively grant ownership
rights for that individual or small group.
This violates our prime directive.
It is the one activity we can’t allow.
Of course, over the course of 10,000 years, a lot of people would try
to find some tricky way to make the others accept that they had special rights
to the land. People trying to get more
for themselves can be very clever. But
the fact that this didn’t happen over the course of 10,000 years tells us how
hard it is to do it. How are you going
to react if someone tries to trick you into accepting she has special rights to
a part of the world in Pastland? Even
if she can convince you of this, she won’t be able to get these rights unless
she can trick the majority of the people.
If this were easy to do, surely someone would have been able to do it in
the enormous period of time that people lived in the Americas.
The book Forensic History deals
with this issue from a wider perspective.
Forensic evidence tells us that humans have been on Afro-Eurasia for
350,000 years. Countries leave very
clear artifacts. We know when these
institutions first came to exist because, as soon as countries appeared, the
special artifacts that are associated with countries appeared. We can’t find any of these artifacts going
back more than 6,000 years. This tells
us that humans existed on the Afro-Eurasian landmass for at least 344,000 years
before the first group was able to form the first successful country. (We will see, when we look at
sovereignty-based societies, that once one successful country exists, the
country-based system spreads very rapidly and conquers additional land.) This means that, for more than 98% of the
time humans lived on the Afro-Eurasian landmass, the people there were able to
successfully resist all attempts to create countries.
As we will see shortly, the ideas of sovereignty and countries can
spread extremely quickly once they take hold.
But the point here is that there will be almost universal resistance to
the very ideas that the societies we have now encourage and foster. The idea of fighting, killing, and
committing terror to force the majority of the people of the world to accept
special rights for the minority would be seen as the wrongest of all possible
wrongs. Nothing could inspire more
guilt in the heart of someone raised in a natural law society than the idea of
doing the things that are fostered and encouraged in sovereignty-based
societies. Nothing would be more likely
to lead to action by the authorities and condemnation by all of the people than
advocating murder and terror to gain special rights for minorities at the
expense of the majority. (No country
in the world includes a majority of the people of the world; this means that all
activities that are designed to advance the interests of countries are designed
specifically to benefit minorities at the expense of the majority.)
Natural law societies naturally foster three very important kinds of
incentives:
1. Incentives to do things that keep the land
healthy and environmental clean.
2. Incentives to be personally responsible and
honest.
3. Incentives to be responsible socially
(essentially, to not organize for murder and terror).
Later, we will see that we can actually follow the flows of value that
lead to these incentives and quantify them with objective numerical
analysis. We can calculate the strength
of these incentives. Although natural
law societies don’t have the strongest possible incentives in all of these
areas, these incentives are extremely strong, easily enough to ensure that natural
law societies will have three very positive attributes:
1. The people in them will take excellent care
of the environment around them.
2. The people in them will be generally
extremely honest and personally responsible.
3. The people in them would feel that the land
around them did not and could not belong to anyone. Although they may want to have special rights for their
particular group, tribe, clan, or family, they will realize that any attempt to
act on this desire is the wrongest of possible wrongs. This doesn’t mean that there will never be
conflicts over who has rights to land.
It does mean, however, that any such conflicts will be relatively minor
relative to the highly organized, toughly planned, and massively funded events
that we call ‘wars’ in the world today.
In sovereignty-based societies, war is an unmanageable problem: the
forces pushing toward war are so strong that no amount of effort by the masses
that are harmed by wars will prevent them from existing. Natural law societies are not totally
peaceful societies but they have very powerful incentives that push toward
negotiated, rational, and reasonable solutions to disputes and, within the
context of these societies, we would expect a general condition of peace to
exist among the people as a whole, with any disputes that did happen being
small enough to be manageable by the great majority of the people, who clearly
do not
benefit by letting minor disputes grow into large-scale conflicts.
Other Incentives
The introduction compared the societies that we have in the 21st
century world with a disease. This
disease has a great many symptoms. The
primary symptoms are:
1. War.
2. Environmental destruction.
3. Extreme levels of personal irresponsibility,
dishonesty, corruption, trickery, and organized and intentional deceit.
Are these the worst symptoms of this disease? That is a value judgment.
The disease has many symptoms, and some would claim that others are more
serious. One example in this category
includes the exploitation of more than half of the population, the female half,
by the minority population. (Males make
up less than half of the world’s population.)
This problem stems from the fact that the great majority of the people
of this system (the non-owners) get nothing from the land unless they
work. Women have the babies and have to
provide care for them for the first few years.
(The males of some species can produce milk from their chest nipples;
this is not true for humans; only females produce milk so only females can
nurse babies.) Because
sovereignty-based societies almost always have far too few jobs for the workers
who need them, and a large number of people must therefore be unemployed,
employers must make a lot of very quick decisions when considering job
applicants: when choosing between a male and an equally qualified female, the
employer knows that the male is not going to give birth and bring a baby to
work; this may happen for the female.
(In fact, just to have a stable population, nearly every female must
have at least one child.) It becomes a
simple decision: hire the man. Since no
members of the working class have an income without a job, and a very large
percentage of the women will not find jobs, the system must create some sort of
institution that grants women and their babies some sort of income and some
protection.
A system has developed that considers females to belong to males. A girl is the responsibility of her father
until he ‘gives her away’ to another man, who will be her husband. I have always found it strange to be
surrounded by people clamoring to be possessions: the girls all wanted to ‘get
married.’ Why? If we look at it logically, it doesn’t make
sense. Doesn’t everyone want
freedom? Who wants to belong to someone
else? If we understand the pressures on
females, we can see that it makes sense.
Their choice is to either compete with men on a playing field that is so
sloped toward men that women can’t really hope to compete, or become the
property of some man, preferably one with a job.
Later we will look at socratic societies. We will see that these societies divide the bounty of the land
among the people of the land. The more bountiful the land, the more there is to
divide. Since these systems create
incentives that lead to very rapid increases in the productive abilities of the
productive facilities (land and factories), these systems will be extremely
bountiful and have enormous amounts of wealth to distribute among the
people. Women are people. They get a share. Children are also people.
The community of humankind will have a stream of income from the
land. We can use it to make sure that
all children will have a high quality of life and the same opportunities. This is not the responsibility of the
particular woman who gave birth to the baby in a socratic society. Everyone shares the wealth of the land.
In such a system, it will be possible to have true equality between the
sexes. In sovereignty-based societies,
this equality can never exist: again, it is structurally impossible.
What about natural law societies?
In these societies, as long as there was food, children ate. Women that were nursing or in later stages
of pregnancy were not excluded from distributions of wealth, even though they
may not have been able to work as long and as hard as men in their same age
group. The record shows that women in
natural law societies had certain freedoms that women do not have in
sovereignty-based societies. For
example, the records show that women were not considered to be the property of
their husbands. They could make their
own sexual choices. The records also
show a much greater percentage of female political leaders in natural law
societies than in sovereignty-based societies.
(You can find many of these records on the PossibleSocieties.com
website. One important source was
Hernando De Soto’s 1537-1541 expedition through the southeastern part of North
America. Since this happened before the
great plagues that devastated this land, the area visited was densely
populated. The authors on this trip
note that many of the groups were matriarchal, with women in charge of
important decisions.)
If we accept this evidence, we can see that the inferior status of
females in the societies now in place is not due to any quality of human
nature. It is related to the structures
of society.
We could go over a long list of differences in the incentives of
natural law societies and sovereignty-based societies. Different societies distribute the wealth
the land produces entirely differently.
Natural law societies use this wealth to reward social, personal, and
environmental responsibility. We would
therefore expect to see high degrees of responsibility in these areas.
The Bad, and the Ugly
We were born into societies with some serious problems. In a sense, the societies that we were born
into (‘sovereignty-based societies’) are the opposite of natural law
societies. These societies accept that
absolutely everything
associated with the world is ownable.
Humans can own the mountains, the rivers, the forests, the air above our
land (governments sell air rights and rights to use each section of the
electromagnetic spectrum); there is nothing about the physical world that
doesn’t belong to whatever group claims to own it and then builds institutions
to enforce their ownership rights.
Natural law societies take the opposite perspective, accepting that
nature and the natural world around us doesn’t belong to us, not as individuals
and not as groups of any description.
They don’t allow any institutions that enforce or even accept any
ownability by humans of any part of the world.
These are both extreme systems.
Extreme systems of any kind always have certain limitations. One obvious problem with extreme systems is
flexibility. The extreme system accepts
no exceptions. It is absolute. Our rule in Pastland says that no one may
own, and no institutions may be created to protect ownership while the
moratorium is in effect, period.
What if we want exceptions? We can have them, but we have to either wait
until the moratorium is over or vote to repeal or modify the moratorium. As long as the moratorium is in effect,
there are no exceptions.
All of the people in our group are from the 21st
century. We are used to certain things
that were a part of all 21st century societies. For example, all 21st century
societies accepted the idea of housing built on land. The housing was either owned by the countries that built it
(which may then assign the housing to individuals), by corporations, or by
individuals. It was owned by some human
entity. We are living on the ship. If you have ever been in a cruise ship cabin,
you will know that even the large and deluxe cabins are tiny. They have to be for the ships to make money:
they need to pack in as many cabins as they can. We have an entire world outside of the ship. A lot of people love working with their
hands and would love to build houses, either for themselves or for others to
use as homes. But we have an absolute
prohibition against any ownership or ownability, or any institutions that grant
any person or group any rights of ownership or ownability.
Natural law societies in the pre-conquest Americas appeared to have
been based on beliefs. Beliefs
are guesses
about things that we can’t fully determine with objective scientific
analysis. The people who lived in the
Americas appeared to have believed that nature, or perhaps some spirit being
that was in charge of nature, had certain desires and intentions for the human
race. The human race was supposed
to treat the world a certain way. We
didn’t have exact instructions about this, so we had to guess. They guessed that we (the members of the
human race) were supposed to treat
nature and the world around us with respect.
Nothing could be more disrespectful to nature than to claim that it
existed for our own personal pleasure and that the things nature created
belonged to us. They wanted people
around them to treat the world with respect and made rules against treating the
world as a possession; they wouldn’t accept institutions that allowed people to
treat the world around them as a possession.
Our group in Pastland has gotten to the same rule system, but we got
there a different way. We didn’t start
with guesses about the intention of some spirit or spirits that we guessed were
in charge of nature. We saw that
accepting certain kinds of ownability led to conflicts. We didn’t want these conflicts. We didn’t have time to sort through the
different kinds of ownability that were possible and find the ones that caused
problems. We didn’t want the conflicts
and, without a full understanding of the different kinds of ownability, the
only way we could avoid these conflicts was to ban all ownability.
There are certain things that we will want and need over time that we
could easily have if we accepted some ownability, but that we won’t have if we
don’t accept any ownability at all.
There are certain limitations that all societies based on the absolute
prohibition of ownability must have.
Later, we will examine some societies that allow exceptions and see
that, if we allow exceptions, we can have the things we need and want without
the problems that come from absolute ownability. But before we look at these other societies, we need to explore
the limitations of the absolute system that will be in effect during the term
of the moratorium. We have seen that
this absolute system definitely has certain advantages that the absolute
ownability systems (systems I will call ‘sovereignty-based societies’) don’t
have. Let’s now look at the
disadvantages that this system has that the absolute ownability systems we left
behind in the 21st century do not have:
The Lack of Constructive
Incentives
Some societies work in ways that cause people to get large amounts of
wealth if they can do things that make the planet more productive or if they
can create new technologies or machines that can turn the super-abundant
materials in the Earth into goods like solar panels, computers, televisions, smart
phones, steel for bridges, skyscrapers, cars, trucks, and other things that
make our lives easier.
The most
abundant material on the Earth’s crust is silicon dioxide, another name for
‘sand’ and ‘rocks.’ These happen to be the things that the silicon wafers that
run your smart phone, the silicon wafers of the screen, the silicon wafers of
the LED lights that illuminate the screen, and all other working parts of the
smart phone are made of. Literally,
your smart phone was once as dumb as a rock because it was a rock.
Our 21st century world has these flows of value. You can see the result all around you. The cities have luxury steel and glass
skyscrapers that allow people to live in what poets of the past described as
paradise, high in the clouds with all manner of luxuries at their
disposal. We have devices that can
produce electricity that allows us to turn night into day, to keep our homes
comfortable in the coldest winter or the hottest summer, to talk to people on
the other side of the planet in real-time video calls, to get on planes and
travel to the other side of the world in a few hours. People involved with the creation of these structures, goods, and
services, clearly make money doing them.
Somehow, the system they live in transfers value to them in some way
that encourages them to provide more and better structures, goods, and
services.
If it weren’t for the other problems of these societies (including the
risks of war, the pressures to destroy the world to create jobs, the hatred and
fear they foster, and the fact that they virtually enslave the great majority
of the people for the benefit of various minorities), life would be getting
better for everyone at an incredible rate.
Natural law societies don’t even allow the structures needed to have
these things. Even if they did change
the rules to allow these facilities to be built, people would have to
make investments in time, money, skills, and other things that we collectively
call ‘capital,’ to cause these things to exist and provide value to the
people. Natural law societies don’t
have any natural flows of value that encourage these investments. So, even if the people of a natural law
society were to change their rules to allow these structures, chances are that
people wouldn’t make the investments needed to have efficient and smoothly
running factories (to make things like solar panels, smart phones, air
conditioners), or build high quality housing, or do the other things that bring
such benefits in the societies that you and I inherited from past
generations.
In fact, most natural law societies not only don’t encourage investments that would lead to
progress and growth, most of them actually prohibit these investments. The foundational beliefs of natural law
societies conflict with the idea of altering the world in any way. They discourage (and, again, often prohibit)
making changes that have the potential to improve the world with the same
veracity that they discourage changes that harm the world.
This means that true natural law societies—pure ones that don’t ever
make any exceptions to the absolute prohibition of humans to own parts of the
world—are likely to be stagnant for incredibly long periods of time. They may go thousands or even hundreds of
thousands of years without any real progress or any structures that improve the
quality of life and advance the standard of living of any of the people within
these societies. In fact, as we will
see shortly, without some sort of incentives to create things of value, even a
group that starts with great advantages—as does our group in Pastland—will
eventually revert to the most extreme level of primitiveness. Let’s consider why this happens.
Reversion to
Primitiveness
Our group in Pastland brought back a lot of wonderful things from the
future. We have the ship itself, made
mostly of steel (an item that doesn’t normally exist in nature and has to be
manufactured by humans). We have
computers, the generators and solar panels we use to generate our electricity,
refrigerators to keep our food from spoiling, machines to help us sow the seeds
and harvest the things the land gives us, radios, televisions, telephones, and
the internet.
We have these things now, but they aren’t going to last forever. When they break, we won’t have parts to fix
them.
The ship is made almost entirely of steel. If steel gets exposed to oxygen from the air, it starts rusting
immediately. Steel parts have to be
protected by paint or they will rust to nothing. We didn’t bring paint with us from the future. A lot of paint was scraped from the ship in
the events related to the time warp and many parts of the ship are already
rusting. Within a few decades,
structures that were once thick enough to drive a tank across will be thin
enough to poke a hand through. Within a
few generations, the floors and walls of the ship will be paper-thin and the
ship will be so dangerous that we won’t be able to live there anymore.
We will have to move out onto the land.
If we still have an absolute prohibition on ownability and prohibit any
alterations to the land, we will have to live in temporary structures like the
teepees that the American natives in this area used before the first European
people arrived.
When we arrived in the past, we had electricity produced by generators and
solar panels. We had a great many
products that used electricity to operate.
These items have moving parts.
Generators have rotors that turn on bearings, and bearings eventually
wear out. Eventually our generators
will break, and we won’t have the parts to fix them.
When the last of our generating devices fail, all our electrical
devices will become useless. All the
data that was on hard drives will be lost forever. If we have no paper factories, we won’t be able to write any of
this information down and will have to pass it down to future generations
verbally. It won’t take long before the
great bulk of the information about how to make things that we brought back
from the future will be lost.
We will have babies: we don’t need any technology or factories for
this; no investments are required. Have
sex and babies will come. We have
plentiful food; even without machines to collect the food, we will all have
plenty to eat. Babies will have good
nutrition and grow up healthy.
Before modern birth control methods came into existence, the average
woman gave birth about 8 times in her life.
If half of the babies survived to breeding age themselves, the
population would double in a single generation. (Four offspring would be alive and ready to reproduce from the
original couple.)
If the population doubles every generation, it will increase by a
factor of 32 every century and by a factor of more than 1000 every 200
years. We don’t need technology for
population to grow. All we need is food
and we have plenty of that.
The human population of the earth will grow. We will spread out across the land. Children will hear the stories of all of the wonderful things
that people used to have, like giant ships that sailed the oceans, computers
that stored vast amounts of data, and refrigerating devices that provided
wonderful treats like ice cream on the hottest days. In time, children will start to think of these stories as
nonsense; stories told by adults for some unknown reason that really have no
relationship to anything real or important.
They will stop believing these things.
Parents will not waste time telling their children stories that they
don’t believe themselves. All of the
information we brought back from us from the 21st century will be
forgotten.
In later chapters we will see that it is possible to build societies
that are almost
identical
to natural law societies, but have structures that allow people who want to
build factories to do so, provided they agree to follow strict rules designed to
protect the planet from harm and provided they agree to share the free cash
flows the factories produce (once they have been completed and are in regular
operation) with the human race.
We know that it is possible to have societies where factories
exist. We know this because we came
from societies that worked in ways that not only allowed factories to exist,
they encouraged
factories to exist.
But we won’t have factories if we are strict about our prime directive
and absolutely prohibit ownability or institutions that protect ownability of
any kind. To have factories, people
have to be able to own rights to flows of value that
factories produce, with their ownership rights protected by some sort of
institutional structure.
We will look
at this issue in detail later but here is a brief description of the reason: to
invest
you must agree to forgo the benefits of having wealth for a very long
time. It often takes decades and
sometimes takes centuries for investments to pay off. Obviously, no rational person would forgo the benefits of having
wealth for a century because no person lives longer than a century: it would
not make sense for a wealthy person to suffer her entire life, and not use her
wealth, so that she could have more wealth after she is dead. We will see that certain ownership
structures make it highly profitable, both over the short and long-term, to
make extremely long-term investments, even investments that won’t generate
returns for many decades. This happens
because if you own rights to the investment, and the investment is
progressing, you can either sell or borrow against the investment to fund
current expenses. For this to happen,
you must own
specific rights; otherwise, you have nothing to sell.
This doesn’t mean that people won’t make things in natural law
societies. They can be highly
productive systems and can produce a great many things. They just won’t make things that are
complicated enough to require a factory to make. We may have some pretty fancy jewelry. People can make clay pots and tiles and fire them into ceramics;
all they need is a kiln that can be made out of clay, used to fire the products
(using deadfall timber that can be collected without harm to the forest), and
then turned back into clay, if the people don’t want the kiln to continue to
exist.
Some metals can be worked without smelters, refineries, or factories:
copper, gold, and sliver, for example, are all soft metals and can be hammered
into thin sheets, drawn into wires, and otherwise worked with hand tools to
make many different items. People in
natural law societies had ceramics; they had lots of jewelry, they had copper
cooking tools and various items made of gold, silver, and other soft metals. We can have these things in Pastland,
without allowing anyone to own any part of the world.
But we won’t have any additional refrigerators, television sets, paint,
or any items made of steel; we won’t have cars, ethanol engines, jets, or
bullet trains. If we can make an item
by hand, we can have it; if we need factories to make it, we can’t have
it.
Why Does this Matter?
If we keep the natural law society, we will eventually wind up living
much as the American native people lived when Columbus first arrived. It is true that they had a good relationship
with the land and didn’t have the most serious of the wars that we have today,
wars where groups of people use all the resources of their ‘countries’ to make
weapons to get other groups of people to accept that their country is the owner
of a part of the world.
But we will live in primitive ways.
Our population will grow.
Perhaps we had birth control technology when we came back from the
future, but we won’t have any factories to make more of these devices and, when
we run out, our population will begin to explode.
But our production methods will remain very primitive.
The chart below shows what happens to the population of a group that
starts at 1,000 and grows at an average rate of 3% per year (about three
children per woman that survive to breeding age). Note that after 40 generations, or 1,000 years, the population
would be above 1 billion, the 2020 population of the Americas. After another 6 generations, the world would
have more than 8 billion people, higher than the population as of 2020 when I
write this.
There will come a time when there isn’t enough food to support more
babies. But the babies will keep
coming. Eventually, the people in the
natural law societies will have to take desperate measures to deal with the
problem. Most of these measures are too
horrible for us to even think about.
(Infanticide, the killing of babies at birth, was common in some natural
law societies that existed in the past; others engaged in human sacrifice.)
Generations
|
Years
|
population
|
0
|
0
|
1,000
|
2
|
50
|
2,000
|
4
|
100
|
4,000
|
6
|
150
|
8,000
|
8
|
200
|
16,000
|
10
|
250
|
32,000
|
12
|
300
|
64,000
|
14
|
350
|
128,000
|
16
|
400
|
256,000
|
18
|
450
|
512,000
|
20
|
500
|
1,024,000
|
22
|
550
|
2,048,000
|
24
|
600
|
4,096,000
|
26
|
650
|
8,192,000
|
28
|
700
|
16,384,000
|
30
|
750
|
32,768,000
|
32
|
800
|
65,536,000
|
34
|
850
|
131,072,000
|
36
|
900
|
262,144,000
|
38
|
950
|
524,288,000
|
40
|
1000
|
1,048,576,000
|
42
|
1050
|
2,097,152,000
|
44
|
1100
|
4,194,304,000
|
46
|
1150
|
8,388,608,000
|
Later, we will look at societies with the advantages of natural law societies
combined with the advantages of sovereign ownability societies. These ‘hybrid’ systems will have powerful
incentives that encourage people to invent, innovate, invest, and find new and
better ways to do things. They will
also have incentives to create machines and factories, including factories that
make birth control devices. We know
from recent experience that if people have access to birth control and can plan
pregnancies, they tend to choose small families, with an average size that is
slightly smaller than the size required to keep populations stable. As a result, these hybrid societies could
have stable population and rapidly growing production, leading to universal
prosperity, which will be combined with powerful incentives pushing toward
social and environmental responsibility.
But natural law societies will almost certainly never have factories
capable of making birth control devices.
Their populations will grow until they reach the maximum that the food
supply in any given area will support.
Then we would expect a horrible cycle, with good years leading to health
and prosperity and bad years leading to massive starvation.
A Fatal Flaw
In the end, the lack of constructive incentives will be a fatal flaw
for natural law societies and cause them to disappear.
Why?
Eventually, someone somewhere will come up with another system. Almost certainly, the people who look for
some other system will not be able to discover the hybrid systems
discussed later in this book, as people need technology and a certain skill set
to understand the hybrid systems. Our
technology will not last; the skills needed to understand the hybrids existed
in the 21st century but will be lost over time if we keep the
natural law society in Pastland, and all records of the past history needed to
understand the required systems will be lost when the last of our hard drives
stop working. Almost certainly, when
the other system comes, people will not accept the principles of natural law
societies and simply make a few well-designed exceptions that allow ownability
in certain areas. Almost certainly,
people will decide that they are the owners of some part of the world and have
the right to use it as they wish.
Almost certainly, the ‘other systems’ that will one day compete with
natural law societies will be the types of societies this book calls
‘sovereignty-based societies.’
Once a group has this other type of society, that group’s production
will grow, and its technology will advance.
The people in this group will be raised to believe that the land belongs
to the ones who ‘claim’ it (as Columbus ‘claimed’ the Americas for Spain) and
then build institutions to protect and enforce their claims.
The owners of the land will get all of its wealth. People who can come to control bountiful
land will get its bounty. In systems
that use money for transactions, the bounty of the land is represented by the
free cash flow of the land. People who
take land will get free money. The more
bountiful land they take, the more free cash will flow from the land to
them. They will all have incentives to
take as much land as they can.
Once these societies start in any area, they will expand outward, in
the same way that the colonies that landed in the western hemisphere started in
small areas and expanded outward. The
expanding sovereignty-based societies will take the best land first. The people with natural law societies who
still live on this land will be little more than a nuisance to the expanding
sovereignty-based societies: they will not have weapons, they won’t have
technology, and, most importantly, they will have a culture that has never
experienced the large-scale, well organized wars that are an inherent part of
sovereignty-based societies. The people
in natural law societies won’t be able to remain on the land. If they don’t agree to move away on their
own, the people with the expanding sovereignty-based societies will simply
exterminate them.
The expanding sovereignty-based societies will face competition, but
not from those with natural law: people with other ‘countries’ will fight them
to gain control of the best land. These
fights will be brutal and vicious, with enormous numbers of people in the
competing countries dying to gain priority for their particular ‘country.’
As a strategic measure, the countries will have to take even the less
desirable land: if they don’t, competing countries will take it and use it as a
base to launch attacks on the more desirable land. The expanding countries will eventually take everything. Nothing will be left unowned and
unownable. Natural law societies may
exist for a very long time. But they
will eventually
disappear.
This is an important observation for our group in Pastland. If we can accept that the natural law societies
are temporary, and will eventually disappear anyway, we might as well use our
technology, our skills, talents, and the other advantages that we have to
figure out something better and put it into place while this is easy for us to
do.
What else is possible?
To understand this,
we really need to understand the features of societies that accept
ownability. Let’s take a mental trip—a
‘thought experiment’—and see if we can figure out aspects of societies that
accept ownability that we can incorporate into the simple natural law societies
we started with to create a sound system that can meet the needs of the human
race indefinitely into the future.